Is this a case of YAAS (Yet Another App Store)??

Amazon is preparing an Android Appstore. So should we roll our eyes and say “yeah yeah, one more…whatever…thanks…” ??

Absolutely NOT. There are several good reasons why this is potentially the biggest news regarding Android app sales to date.

Firstly, it must be noted, that gross Android app sales clearly lag behind iPhone app sales, despite the fact that the increasing number of Android handsets and apps on the market has levelled the playing field for 2011. It just seems that few developers are really making much cash on the Android Marketplace, for reasons that have been discussed previously such as billing issues, poor design, a proliferation of dodgy apps and a poor ratings system

Amazon will not make those mistakes. They have the clout. They know how to sell, both physical items and digital. They have a powerful recommendations, ratings and rankings system in place for eBooks. And the kicker: they have an established billing system with millions of educated, credit-card-enabled users in place from day ONE.

Sounds familiar? It should. When Apple launched their App Store the reason their paid apps flew out the door could be attributed in no small part ot the fact that they had a huge base of iTunes users already set up for micro-purchases.

Kindle Blazes a Trail

So what kind of user base does Amazon have to tap into for buying Android apps? Amazon can thank it’s Kindle here. There are probably over 5 million Kindle Device users out there of which quite a few would possess an Android device, or will in the near future. And god-knows how many Android users have already installed the Kindle Android app (it is ranked #11 on Android Market)! It took just 3 days back in early July 2010 for the Kindle Android App to go from 50,000 downloads to 250,000+ downloads. By now it would be in the millions and many of them will have set up their credit cards in Amazon’s system to enable the one-touch purchase feature.  I’m one of them – I recently made my first eBook purchase through Kindle Android (for the curious, I bought “In Pursuit of the Gene: From Darwin to DNA” by James Schwartz, for $9.99). I would guess that a Kindle user will find it extraordinarily easy to purchase apps through Amazon’s App Store.

An Appley Approach

Amazon are also taking a more Apple-like approach to determining which apps make it onto their App Store and which ones don’t, without being quite so officious about it. The focus will be on quality (i.e. the app works as stated and doesn’t crash all the time)  rather than sheer quantity and perhaps this is what Android needs? I know I know…Android is all about OPENESS!! But when OPENESS is failing to convert to REVENUE, maybe it doesn’t hurt to emulate the other guy…just a little bit.

Lessons from the eBook Market

Amazon are bringing one fairly unique aspect to their App Store: The developer doesn’t set the price, Amazon does. Some developers will find this idea a bit repellent, espcially the loss of control. But they will need to trust in Amazon’s intrinsic understanding of sales patterns. Amazon already does this price-tweaking magic in the eBooks market and it works. For developers they may make less per sale but should see more sales and greater gross revenues.

What does this mean for Google Marketplace?

Nothing really except that they are about to have some serious competition. Which is a good thing. Google are already making some long-awaited improvements to their Marketplace and hopefully in the longer run Android developers will find they can make serious revenue from BOTH channels.

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Posted by David Kainer on January 6th, 2011 :: Filed under vision and trends
Tags :: 2011, Amazon, Android, apps, Kindle, mobile applications

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The Ratings Problem

You slave away creating your android app or game. You test it on multiple devices, polish it up and then whack it on the old Android Market and watch the good times role, yes?

Well, sometimes. But let’s assume for the moment that your app is well received and the downloads (free or paid) start rolling in. Users start posting comments and ratings out of 5 stars. If those ratings are good your downloads will probably snowball since other users will often search for apps by rating. If you’re near the top, then you will probably stay there. It’s the old “rich get richer” mechanic. HAPPY DAYS!

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Posted by David Kainer on August 12th, 2010 :: Filed under vision and trends
Tags :: Android, apps, market, mobile applications, ratings

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There are two key growth numbers from Commscore’s latest report to the end of May 2010 (USA figures)

1. Smartphones up 8% since Feb
2. Android up from 9% to 13% of Smartphones since Feb

So, as previously predicted at Viva La Mobile, Android continues to steal market share from the other smartphone platforms. At the same time overall Smartphone numbers are growing, which points to a double gain for supporters of Android.

What does this mean?

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Posted by David Kainer on July 11th, 2010 :: Filed under Uncategorized
Tags :: Android, mobile development

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I saw my first Australian TV ad for an Android device this week. It’s an ad for the Motorola DEXT (aka CLIQ) and shows off the social network integration features of the MOTOBLUR UI. The ad, which is actually from Optus, does not mention “Android” anywhere while on the Optus website for the device the word “Android OS” is buried deep within the features list.

So where is Android at in Australia now?

Certainly Australian ‘Droidiness is lagging well behind Europe and the USA where carriers have been promoting android devices like the Motorola Droid and HTC Magic for some time, not to mention selling them in large quantities. In the USA Android is the fastest growing Smartphone platform.

I think we will see a similar effect in the Australian market over the next 6 months. Telstra, Optus and Vodafone Hutchison are all launching multiple Android handsets this quarter, and it is great to see Optus advertising them (even if it neglects to mention the presence of Google’s OS at all). The variety of designs and advanced apps on offer should give consumers a welcome alternative to iPhone and provide an escape from iPhone me-too syndrome. Yes, that’s right young hipster, you can be unique again!!

My prediction: While no single handset model is likely to have the impact the iPhone has had (possibly ever), the cumulative weight of cool advanced Android devices will be far greater than iPhone in the longer term. As the Android market share rapidly grows here so will the demand for localised apps. This is where the brands and agencies of this country need to be alert and remove their iPhone blinkers. Apple now has company in Australia and ignoring that would be a mistake.

Update: some more android growth info

http://www.gizmodo.com.au/2010/03/how-the-iphone-could-end-up-in-second-place/

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Posted by David Kainer on April 7th, 2010 :: Filed under vision and trends
Tags :: Android, australia, mobile applications, mobile development

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Hi World.

So, we’ve been a busy little team lately and the new website is starting to take shape for 2010. The mobile apps and games industry has changed an awful lot since we started out in 2003 and it makes sense to start discussing these changes and where things are going. Hence this blog.

What we’d like to do is to not hold back. We’d like to discuss what really is going on, who’s winning, who’s losing, what’s working and what really gets our blood boiling.

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Posted by David Kainer on February 14th, 2010 :: Filed under Uncategorized,mobile development
Tags :: Android, mobile development

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